Credit Markets Begin to Thaw

January 14th, 2009

NEW YORK–Credit markets are beginning to thaw after months of a deep freeze.

In a promising turn that could bolster the economy, companies are selling bonds at a pace not seen since last spring. At the same time, companies are finding it easier to issue commercial paper, the short-term loans necessary for quick access to cash.

Global sales of new corporate debt jumped to $82 billion last week, the highest since $103 billion last May and nearly double the level seen right before the credit crisis intensified in September, according to data-tracker Dealogic.

The thawing means companies such as Cablevision Holdings Corp. and General Electric Co. can raise money more easily for everything from payrolls to paying down debt, an important shift that ultimately will benefit consumers.

(Msnbc.com is a joint venture of Microsoft and NBC Universal. The latter is a division of GE.)

If the trend continues, it would be the outcome that government officials have been seeking for months, as they pumped hundreds of billions of dollars into the financial system. More could be on the way.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, in a speech Tuesday at the London School of Economics, indicated additional steps will be taken to stabilize the financial system beyond the $800 billion stimulus package being crafted by President-elect Barack Obama.

“History demonstrates conclusively that a modern economy cannot grow if its financial system is not operating effectively,” Bernanke said.

It’s a fact of life for companies the size of Exxon-Mobil to the corner deli: They struggle if they can’t borrow money. That’s just what happened in the aftermath of the financial meltdown, as banks stopped lending and investors turned away from corporate debt.

A credit freeze hits the economy hard because it forces companies to lay off workers because they can’t make payrolls and to cut planned expansions.

“There is a domino effect if companies can’t borrow,” said Len Blum, managing director at Westwood Capital. “The doughnut shop down the street from headquarters suffers because fewer people are coming in since there has been layoffs at the company.”

To be sure, danger still looms in the credit markets. Bank lending remains at a trickle and it will likely stay that way so long as financial companies contend with massive losses tied to their mortgage-related assets and other bad debt.

Despite a taxpayer-funded bailout and moves by the Federal Reserve to loan more money to financial institutions, banks are still reluctant to lend.

That’s due, in part, to the fact many are still struggling. Citigroup Inc., which lost more than $20 billion between October 2007 and October 2008, is expected to report next week another loss of $10 billion more for the three months of 2008, according to analysts. The government has already lent the embattled bank $45 billion and agreed to absorb the losses on a huge pool of mortgages and other distressed assets.

But other corners of the debt market are improving, which could put “a floor underneath the economy and sows the seeds for an economic recovery,” said Tony Crescenzi, chief bond market analyst at Miller Tabak & Co.

Some of the renewed appetite has been for debt backed by the government, including a $10 billion General Electric bond offering. That was backed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.’s temporary guarantee program, which was set up last fall to help companies get financing.

Investors also have renewed interest in speculative bonds — also known as “junk” — that offer higher interest rates than they could get by owning U.S. government debt, where yields have plummeted to record lows in the last month. The yield on two-year Treasury note now stands around 0.75 percent.

By paying higher yields, companies compensate investors for the higher risk of default that comes from owning such bonds.

Cablevision subsidiary CSC Holdings Inc. set out to raise $500 million in its high-yield offering last week, but strong demand brought in $844 million for the media and cable company. Bethpage, N.Y.-based Cablevision, which sold the five-year notes with an interest rate of 11.375 percent, will use the proceeds to pay down $1.7 billion in debt coming due this year.

Being able to pay down the debt is important because the company won’t have to tap bank loans or cut other expenses to cover interest or principal payments.

On top of that, investors moved $882 million into high-yield corporate bond funds last week, the largest since September 2003, according to AMG Data Services.

Another significant shift in credit markets is showing up in the substantial increase in the issuance of commercial paper, which companies sell as a low-cost source of cash used to meet short-term financial needs.

According to the latest figures by the Fed, commercial paper outstanding increased by $83.1 billion, or nearly 5 percent, to a seasonally adjusted $1.76 trillion in the week ended Jan. 7. That puts it close to the $1.82 trillion that was in the market in September before Lehman’s failure.

The Fed has also ratcheted down its key interest to hover between zero and 0.25 percent, a record low. In that move last month, the central bank signaled it would hold rates at such levels for some time to help cushion the blows of a recession that has just entered its second year.

The actions by the Fed and other central banks around the world have pushed down borrowing costs. The London Interbank Offered Rate, or Libor, now stands around 1.09 percent, its lowest level since June 2003 and about a quarter of what it was in October, according to the British Bankers’ Association.

It’s not just businesses that are benefiting from improving credit conditions. Mortgage rates have also tumbled since the Fed in November announced plans to spend up to $500 million to buy mortgage-backed securities in an effort to bolster the ailing U.S. housing market.

The average rates on the 30-year mortgage fell to 5.01 percent last week, the lowest since Freddie Mac started tracking the data in 1971.

TradingMarkets 7 Stocks You Need to Know

January 13th, 2009

Both financial and technology stocks rallied late to help the markets close off the lows of the day.

The Dow ended the day down 25.41. The Nasdaq Composite finished ahead by 7.67. And the S&P 500 gained 1.53.

Here are 7 Stocks You Need to Know

The Wall Street Journal reported that Yahoo! (NasdaqGS:YHOO - News) will choose Carol Bartz to replace Jerry Yang as CEO. Bartz was formerly CEO of Autodesk. The Short Term PowerRating for YHOO is 4.

Xilinx (NasdaqGS:XLNX - News) reports quarterly earnings Wednesday after the close. Analysts are expecting earnings per share of 32 cents. The Short Term PowerRating for XLNX is 6.

Options trader Jon Najarian pointed to sizable put buying in shares of Citigroup (NYSE:C - News) during an appearance on MSNBC’s Fast Money program after the bell on Monday. Read our Big Saturday Interview with options trader, Fast Money regular and brother of Jon Najarian, Pete Najarian at TradingMarkets.com! The Short Term PowerRating for C is 6.

Traders are similarly bearish toward shares of General Electric (NYSE:GE - News). The number of shares sold short in the stock soared over the month of December. Also Barclay’s suggested on Tuesday that GE’s quarterly earnings could come in at the low end of its forecast range. The Short Term PowerRating for GE is 5.

Shares of ZymoGenetics (NasdaqGM:ZGEN - News) soared on Tuesday on the news that Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY - News) would pay $1 billion to the Seattle-based biotech company if the hepatitis C drug they are co-developing meets certain sales and regulatory goals. The Short Term PowerRatings for ZGEN and BMY is 5 and 6 respectively.

Alcoa (NYSE:AA - News) continues to sit easily in the minds of traders, investors and analysts who have grown suspicious of the aluminum giant’s ability to support its dividend. The Short Term PowerRating for AA is 5.

10 Big Ideas That Started in College

January 12th, 2009

While most people were messing around in college, getting with as many people as they could and drinking as much as possible, there were a select few who actually made something of themselves.

The initial ideas for some of the most promising companies today originated in college. Don’t worry if the stories of these “start-ups” make you feel inferior… they should.

But rest assured, the moguls responsible for the businesses below probably didn’t hook up and drink up as often back in those college days. Then again, they’re probably making up for it now.

Read on and be impressed:

Facebook

Mark Zuckerberg and his social networking site is one of those things that just had to be on the list. Zuckerberg created Facebook with fellow Harvard students Dustin Moskovitz and Chris Hughes though there has been some controversy concerning the originality of the idea. Irrelevant of who had the idea first, it was the AEPi member’s company that took off and has now become the site that every college student must obsessively check daily.

Napster

Shawn Fanning just started out as a nice roommate at Northeastern. His buddy was having trouble accessing MP3 files he wanted, so Faning began writing a program that would make downloading music easy. Since then Napster has faced some trouble with the law, but Fanning shouldn’t care too much. He had a cameo in The Italian Job, in which Seth Green’s character accuses Fanning of stealing the idea for Napster from him. When you appear with Seth Green, that’s how you know you’ve made it.

Insomnia Cookies

Sick of greasy pizza for late-night beer munchies (cramming food too, I suppose), Seth Berkowitz and Jared Barnett, juniors at UPenn at the time, started baking. They then handed out their cookies to friends and then friends of friends until they were delivering cookies and milk all over campus. Insomnia Cookies was born and expanded to other campuses. So now college students who are up late studying or “studying,” can have a light bite delivered to their door.

Microsoft

After scoring a measly 1590 on his SATs, Bill Gates headed to Harvard. Even though he was at school, Gates kept in contact with a high school friend and fellow tech fanatic Paul Allen. As one of the most famous dropouts, we all know Gates eventually left Harvard, teaming up with Allen to form “Micro-Soft.” Fortunately, the hyphen got left behind and the company flourished.

Collegeboxes

Scott Neuberger and Josh Kowitt worked together at Wash U to create a college shipping, storage and refrigerator-rental company. After graduation, the pair sold the company to some classmates and relocated to Boston where they opened a similar company. Later, they bought back the original, making one mega Collegeboxes servicing colleges around the country. Moving college students’ crap around may not seem glamorous, but it is when it comes with $1.6 million in revenue.

Dell

Michael Dell founded PC’s Limited from his dorm room at the University of Texas at Austin. When his computer-components business started making $80,000 a month, Dell was ready to drop his pre-med major and college all together. PC’s Limited became Dell Computer Corporation which became Dell, Inc. and no one’s sad that there isn’t a Dr. Michael Dell running around.

FedEx

While a student at Yale, the story goes that Fred Smith wrote a term paper about the need for reliable overnight delivery in a computerized information age and received a C (Though, since then, Smith has said that he doesn’t really remember the actual grade). Upon graduating from Yale, Smith enlisted in the Marines, but after he picked back up with his idea and raised $80 million to start FedEx. Fun Wikipedia fact: The sample package in all the print ads had a Yale return address.

Tripod

This web-hosting site was started in 1992 by two Williams College classmates, Bo Peabody and Brett Hershey, with their economics professor Dick Sabot. However, the original plan included a magazine, Tools for Life, and advice on practical issues facing college students. A side feature, web-hosting, soon became the main draw and it was eventually bought by Lycos.

TerraCycle

Tom Szaky developed his idea for a natural fertilizer company while a student at Princeton. Only a college student could continuously convince judges at business-plan competitions to buy into a plan based on “worm poop.” Today, his product can be found at retail giants Wal-Mart and Home Dept. and that recycled “poop” is set to make $5 million next year. Oh and shove it Zuckerberg, Szaky beat out the Facebook guy for the number one spot in Inc.’s “CEO’s Under Thirty” in 2006.

The U

How could we leave off a member of our very own company? Our parent company, theU, was created by our CEO Doug Imbruce from his Columbia University dorm room. Thanks to him prospective students can get college-selection advice from theU.com, you all can read the great content on CollegeOTR, and I can be employed. Everyone wins.